David Aragona

Author's details

Name: David Aragona
Date registered: February 16, 2012
URL: http://thatsahorsetowatch.com

Latest posts

  1. Kentucky Derby 2014: Finding Value — April 22, 2014
  2. Saturday: The Distaff Handicap card at Aqueduct — April 19, 2014
  3. Friday at Aqueduct — April 18, 2014
  4. Thursday at Aqueduct — April 17, 2014
  5. Saturday at Aqueduct — April 12, 2014

Most commented posts

  1. Monday: Presidents Day at Aqueduct; Southwest Stakes — 10 comments
  2. Thursday at Belmont — 9 comments
  3. Sunday at Aqueduct — 8 comments
  4. Taking a Short Break — 7 comments
  5. Holiday Break — 7 comments

Author's posts listings

Apr 22 2014

Kentucky Derby 2014: Finding Value

One of the challenges of handicapping the Kentucky Derby—beyond merely keeping track of all the runners—is determining which of the horses that have legitimate chances to win actually present viable wagering opportunities. Below I have organized the current list of the top 20 qualifiers, ranking them by what I believe to be their winning chances. …

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Apr 19 2014

Saturday: The Distaff Handicap card at Aqueduct

Race 3: Claiming $20,000 at six furlongs for three year-olds Hearty Congrats is going to be a strong favorite in this race and perhaps he is simply the best horse. However, there are some significant questions that he has to answer today. The Beyer assigned to his last race looks pretty suspect, considering that he …

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Apr 18 2014

Friday at Aqueduct

Race 3: Maiden Special Weight at six furlongs for NY-breds If Station Chief runs back to his debut, he’s going to be very tough to beat. However, there is another horse in this race also ran quite well in his debut even though it might not appear that way. BAD TO THE ROAN (#1) debuted …

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Apr 17 2014

Thursday at Aqueduct

Race 2: Claiming $16,000N2L at six furlongs This race boils down to two main contenders in Cobalto and Read the Proposal. Of the the two, I strongly prefer COBALTO (#1). Read the Proposal has run faster races during his career, but has been plagued by physical issues, which have kept him from fulfilling his early …

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Apr 12 2014

Saturday at Aqueduct

Race 1: Allowance N1X at one mile on the turf While IDLE AMERICAN (#3) has failed to cross the wire in front since the fall of 2012, you can make a strong argument that he is coming into this race in the best form of his life. He has shown repeatedly in past seasons that …

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Apr 09 2014

Wednesday at Aqueduct

Due to time constraints, I was not able to put together a new Horses to Watch entry yet. I’ll try to post something later this week. For now, here are a few opinions about Wednesday’s races: Race 4: Claiming $12,500 at six furlongs for three year-olds PACEMAKESTHERACE (#2) never was given a chance to get …

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Apr 06 2014

Sunday at Aqueduct

Race 7: Allowance N1X at one mile for NY-bred fillies and mares While I’m not thrilled to see the same rider back on MLLE. MINUIT (#3) again this afternoon, I’ll hope he learned from his mistake last time. Rarely do you see such an egregious tactical error as the one Wilmer Garcia made in the …

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Apr 05 2014

Wood Memorial Day

As Steve Crist pointed out in a recent Daily Racing Form article, the absence of turf racing on Wood Memorial day necessitates that the undercard be filled out with claiming and state-bred dirt races. While this may be a disappointment to some, for anyone who had the patience and fortitude to focus on New York …

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