Wednesday, June 24
Race 4: Maiden Claiming $75,000 at one mile on the turf
3 – Moss Code
There are so many interesting runners in this race and it was very hard to choose just one. This is very much a spread race, but there is one horse in particular who may get totally overlooked in the wagering and may have a real chance here. Moss Code (#3) made one turf start last fall in his career debut, and the running line comment fails to note that he had serious trouble at the top of the stretch. He was ridden into the back of fading leaders and was forced to steady hard, losing all momentum. Moss Code wasn’t winning that race, but for a Nick Zito firster, that was an encouraging effort. I like that Junior Alvarado takes the call and I expect this horse to show speed.
The Catmancan is obviously a major player, though Jose Ortiz needs to get some cover for him early. I also think Super Indian is mildly interesting at a very big price. This is a great race to open the Pick-6.
$15 Win 3
$4 Exacta Key Box 3 with 4,8
$2 Exacta Key Box 3 with 1,11,13
Race 5: Optional Claiming $80,000/N1X at 1 1/16 miles on the turf for three year-old fillies
5 – My Sweet Girl
My Sweet Girl (#5) should appreciate this drop in class and I think she’s good enough to beat Chad Brown’s duo. Taking a stand here.
$25 Win 5
Race 8: Optional Claiming $80,000/C at one mile for fillies and mares
2 – Catch My Drift
La Madrina may have needed her last race and she’s certainly bred to stretch out, but it feels like she’s going to be a very short price. Lunar Surge may actually be the horse to beat, but I wish she was a little more fond of winning races.
I’m going for a mild upset with Catch My Drift (#2). Her last was a bit disappointing, but it’s possible that she just needed a race off the long layoff. After all, her second career start last year was much better than her first. If she gets back to her Turnback the Alarm, she’s very dangerous. Also note that Catch My Drift was way against the pace and bias in the Comely towards the end of last year. A price around 7/2 would be very fair.
$15 Win 2
$5 Exacta Key Box 2 with 5,6
Race 9: Maiden Claiming $40,000 at six furlongs on the turf for fillies and mares
7 – French Dressing
Just when I was thinking this Pick-6 might be playable with a reasonable budget, I got to the 9th race. How can you love any of the so-called logical contenders?
I’m not overly confident in my selection, but I wanted someone else and French Dressing (#7) has a bit of a look to her. Northern Afleet is a decent turf sire, and her dam might get a little turf pedigree from Wind Whipper, a little-known sire who hasn’t produced much, but sports strong turf pedigree. This filly has faced better and will be a price. That’s the best I’ve got.
$10 Win/Place 7 (Payout: $67.00)