Friday, May 29
Race 3: Optional Claiming $80,000/C at one mile
6 – Lucky Lotto
While I certainly respect Mylute (#2), he’s hard to totally trust coming off the extended layoff. Integrity (#5) is the obvious alternative but his last race – which was very good – came over a sealed track that we already know he loves, and he’s been off for over two months since.
I’m going to try to beat them with LUCKY LOTTO (#6). This overachiever continues to surprise by raising his game as the competition gets tougher. Last time he made a solid late run into a slow pace before putting in an extremely strong gallop out past the wire. He probably needs a little help up front, but Lucky Lotto is going to be a price and I think he’s worth taking a shot with.
$15 Win 6
$5 Exacta Key Box 6 with 2,5 (Payout: $48.50)
Race 4: Starter Allowance $50,000 at 1 1/16 miles on the turf
5 – Weekend Express
I’m not saying anything too clever here, but WEEKEND EXPRESS (#5) is a very likely winner of this race and would offer good value at anything above 2/1. He was in over his head last time and his prior tries at Gulfstream are better than anything the others in this field have accomplished.
$25 Win 5 (Payout: $68.75)
Race 5: Maiden Claiming $40,000 at 1 1/16 miles on the turf for NY-breds
8 – Bad Scooter
9 – Fordham Bound
Assuming that Plundering (#14) doesn’t draw in, there isn’t really any strong form to go on here, so I gravitated toward horses with little to no turf experience. BAD SCOOTER (#8) was facing tougher in his lone turf start, and had a bit of trip getting rank early before making a four-wide run around the far turn. This drop in class might be enough to wake him up. I will also use FORDHAM BOUND (#9), who is by established turf influence English Channel and out of a dam who produced 4 turf winners, including Life’s a Stage, who won for this barn.
$10 Win 8
$10 Win 9
$2 Exacta Box 8,9
Race 7: Optional Claiming $40,000/N2X at six furlongs on the turf for NY-breds
4 – Sanctify
10 – Sun Worshipper
While Compliance Officer (#8) is probably the horse to beat after knocking heads against open company during the latter part of last year, he’s now 9 years-old and isn’t exactly improving with age.
I ended up making SANCTIFY (#4) my top pick. His last feels like a prep, and while he tailed off at the end of last year, it’s possible that he may just prefer firmer turf, which he’ll get here. I also like that they’re keeping him at sprint distances this time, and Mott has good numbers with horses running back second time after this kind of layoff.
For a bomb, how about throwing in SUN WORSHIPPER (#10)? I really like the rider change to Lezcano for this horse and he’s run well fresh in the past. There’s no guarantee that he’ll get the pace he needs, but this horse had some trips last year and will probably be an overlay.
$15 Win 4 (Payout: $165.00)
$10 Win 10
$4 Exacta Box 4,8,10