Wednesday, April 22
Race 2: Claiming $12,500 at 6 1/2 furlongs
6 – So Scott
Glickman (#2) is once again the horse to beat as he continues to hold his form despite racing at the bottom level. I’m somewhat against Snake Pit (#4). Jacobson has terrible numbers with turnbacks that are dropping in class like this.
Since neither of those two are particularly trustworthy, I’m taking a small shot with So Scott (#6). I know his current form isn’t exactly inspiring, but his last race is not as bad as it looks. He was badly hampered at the start and not asked for much run thereafter. If this race comes apart late, which is a distinct possibility with Glickman in the mix, So Scott could pose a late threat at a decent price.
$10 Win 6
$10 Exacta 2-6
Race 3: Claiming $32,000 at six furlongs
6 – Risk Management
The inside three runners are the main players. However, I don’t love Golden Itiz (#1) turning all the way back to six furlongs, and last time was when you really needed Hop Skip and Away (#2). I ever so slightly prefer Regulus (#3) to those two, but don’t totally trust him either.
I ended up going in a slightly different direction and will try to get Risk Management (#6) to upset the field. He was overmatched two back in the Peeping Tom and then last time Angel Cruz was overly concerned with saving ground in a race that is better than it looks on paper. Risk Management should sit a good trip stalking the speed types just to his inside and would be a fair price at anything over 6/1.
$15 Win 6
$4 Exacta Key Box 6 with 1,2,3
Race 6: Maiden Claiming $40,000 at 1 1/16 miles on the turf for NY-bred fillies and mares
1 – Unspoken
12 – Dixie Gem
Of course Sakonnet Point (#9) is the horse to beat, but do you really need a short price on her? After all, it’s not like she’s done all that much in the last 18 months aside from nearly luck into a victory against an awful field on dirt in February. She’s surely on my tickets but I prefer to focus on others.
Of those with proven turf form, I prefer Dixie Gem (#12). She’s only run for a tag once before on turf and a couple of her efforts from last summer are as good as, if not better than, anything Sakonnet Point has done recently.
However, in my opinion, the most interesting runner in this race is Unspoken (#1). She doesn’t get much turf pedigree from her dam, but she’s by Silent Name, who is a 20% turf route sire. Watching back her debut, it appeared that she just didn’t get over the dirt effectively so I think this surface switch could be just what she needs. She also drew very well in a race where her two main opponents are stuck outside.
$15 Win 1 (Payout: $180.00)
$10 Win 12
$2 Exacta Box 1,9,12 (Payout: $103.50)
Race 8: Optional Claiming $62,500/N2X at 1 1/8 miles
2 – Coltimus Prime
Coltimus Prime (#2) is the one that I want most. He was off slowly last time, but has more speed than he showed that day. He should appreciate getting back on a dry track (if we’re lucky enough to dodge the rain) and has run dirt races fast enough to beat this field.
Coach Inge (#3) is very much a threat to wire the field and, though 9 furlongs is a question, Bemata’s (#6) last few races are too good to ignore. I’ll be using them both as backups.
The horse I’m against is Touchofstarquality. I’m not sure he really wants to go this far and don’t need him at what could be a short price.
$20 Win 2
$5 Exacta Key Box 2 with 3,6